Sunday, 23 June 2013

The Dragon and The Elephant: China, India and the New World Order, David Smith




David Smith has written an intriguing book regarding the rising economic superpowers of China and India. Over the last few decades these two countries have surprised many economists and politicians, due to their staggering economic growth, however both have experienced this growth for very different reasons.

Smith firstly makes it clear that this is not strange or out of the ordinary, in fact throughout history, China and India have had significant periods of time being economically prosperous or not. Therefore, this is just a cycle and is inevitable, in addition, also like history whenever the West rises the East falls and vice versa, so Smith argues that perhaps this is just normal. Smith then argues about China and India and how they became economically prosperous, China grew due to its booming industries and India grew due to its rise of being transformed by technology, in particular offshore service industry.

However, the most revealing part of this book is the final section, in which Smith reveals his synthesis on ten ways China and India will or will not change the world. This includes: China and India will stretch the current levels of resources, however, due to their growing populations they can easily increase their level of resources. In addition, China and India are not as big as they seem, in fact in history there have been cases of economies that were larger, in their context.

Although, Smith does mention the problems of these two countries, I feel that he could have provided more detail. This is most apparent with the corruption within India and how significant amounts of their population are still some of the poorest in the world. Therefore, it is true that these two countries are economically prosperous and could perhaps continue to grow, there are far graver issues regarding the general welfare of these respective nations, which could escalate and cause problems in the future and even in the present. On the other hand, even though the debate behind this topic is too vast to divulge, it should be noted that both countries are steadily improving the equality within their societies; with more urbanised cities and a wealthier middle and working-class, but it seems the increase in population hinders these two countries.

All in all, David Smith has written a book about China and India that is very unlike every other book about these nations. Smith not only manages to portray the history of these nations and the causes of their economic growth but also to offer ten ways in which these countries may change the world or not!